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Serie D · Round of 32 · Brazil

Ipatinga v Vitória ES

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ipatinga v Vitória ES: the model read

Ipatinga meet Vitória ES in the Serie D round of 32.

Vitória ES rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Vitória ES, 55% against 33%. Attacking output favors Vitória ES on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.

Ipatinga arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ CSA, W 3-2 v Coimbra, W 1-0 v CSA, L 0-5 @ Democrata SL.

Vitória ES are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rio Branco-VN, L 0-2 @ Ipatinga, D 0-0 v Vilavelhense, W 1-0 v Ipatinga.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ipatinga 2-0 Vitória ES.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ipatinga

LLWWL5-3-12

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 2.15 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 35%

  • LACSA0-4
  • WHCoimbra3-2
  • WHCSA1-0
  • LADemocrata SL0-5
  • LHAymorés1-4

Vitória ES

DWDLL8-6-6

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • LHRio Branco-VN0-1
  • LAIpatinga0-2
  • DHVilavelhense0-0
  • WHIpatinga1-0
  • DAVilavelhense2-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

IpatingarecordVitória ES
1
1
0 draws

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Ipatinga

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 2-0

Vitória ES

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 1-2

Biggest win 1-0

  • Ipatinga2-0Vitória ES
  • Vitória ES1-0Ipatinga

Managers

Avila Emerson

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Betim2026–2026

Soriano Rafael

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.