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J1 League · Regular Season - 1 · Japan

Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashima

· New National Stadium, Tokyo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashima: the model read

Yokohama F. Marinos meet Kashima in the J1 League regular season - 1 at New National Stadium, Tokyo. The model makes Kashima the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 25% YOK, 29% draw, 46% KAS.

Kashima rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1512. Recent form leans Kashima, 83% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kashima on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Kashima at 65%; double chance reads Yokohama F. Marinos or draw 54%, Kashima or draw 75%.

Yokohama F. Marinos arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Roasso Kumamoto, D 1-1 v Tegevajaro Miyazaki, W 3-0 v Shimizu S-pulse, D 1-1 @ Shimizu S-pulse.

Kashima are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Vegalta Sendai, W 2-0 v Vissel Kobe, L 0-5 @ Vissel Kobe, W 1-0 v FC Tokyo.

Yokohama F. Marinos hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Kashima.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Yokohama F. Marinos

WDWDW8-4-8

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • WHRoasso Kumamoto3-1
  • DHTegevajaro Miyazaki1-1
  • WHShimizu S-pulse3-0
  • DAShimizu S-pulse1-1
  • WATokyo Verdy6-0

Kashima

WWLWW15-3-2

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 0.65 · Clean sheets 65% · BTTS 30%

  • WHVegalta Sendai5-0
  • WHVissel Kobe2-0
  • LAVissel Kobe0-5
  • WHFC Tokyo1-0
  • WAJEF United Chiba2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Yokohama F. MarinosrecordKashima
6
3
1 draw

Goals

20-11

for each

Avg goals

3.1

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Yokohama F. Marinos

Recent
DLLWWL
Wins 6Goals 20-11

Biggest win 4-1

Kashima

Recent
DWWLLW
Wins 3Goals 11-20

Biggest win 1-0

  • Yokohama F. Marinos1-1Kashima
  • Kashima1-0Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Kashima2-1Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Yokohama F. Marinos3-1Kashima
  • Yokohama F. Marinos4-1Kashima
  • Kashima3-2Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Kashima1-2Yokohama F. Marinos
  • Yokohama F. Marinos2-1Kashima
  • Yokohama F. Marinos2-0Kashima
  • Kashima0-3Yokohama F. Marinos

Managers

P. Kisnorbo

Australia · 44

In charge since 2025 · 6 clubs managed

  • Melbourne Victory2024–2024
  • A-Leagues All Stars2024–2024
  • Troyes2022–2023
  • Melbourne City2020–2022

T. Oniki

Japan · 51

In charge since 2025 · 2 clubs managed

  • Kawasaki Frontale2017–2025

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.