Where the market is wrong on Lech Poznan v Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan meet Jagiellonia in the Ekstraklasa regular season - 5 at Stadion Poznan, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1730 to 1742, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 83% against 83%. Attacking output favors Lech Poznan on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.9 per match.
Lech Poznan arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Widzew Łódź, D 2-2 @ FC Thun, W 7-0 v FC Thun, W 5-0 @ KI Klaksvik.
Jagiellonia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Raków Częstochowa, W 2-1 @ FC Iberia 1999, W 4-0 v FC Iberia 1999, D 1-1 @ Rangers.
The market prices LEC at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Jagiellonia: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
