Where the market is wrong on Korona Kielce v Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce meet Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa regular season - 2 at Exbud Arena, Kielce.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Gornik Zabrze on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Korona Kielce arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Gornik Zabrze, W 2-1 @ Slask Wroclaw, D 1-1 v Wisla Krakow, W 1-0 @ Widzew Łódź.
Gornik Zabrze are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Korona Kielce, W 2-1 v Lech Poznan, W 1-0 @ Cracovia Krakow, W 2-1 @ Raków Częstochowa.
Gornik Zabrze hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Korona Kielce 0-2 Gornik Zabrze.
The market prices KOR at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
