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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7 · France

Estac Troyes v Lens

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Estac Troyes v Lens: the model read

Estac Troyes meet Lens in the Ligue 1 regular season - 7.

The baseline ratings are close, 1696 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 70%. Attacking output favors Lens on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.1 per match.

Estac Troyes arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Lorient, D 0-0 v Paris FC, D 1-1 v Panetolikos, D 1-1 @ Auxerre.

Lens are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Strasbourg, W 5-2 v Auxerre, W 1-0 v Paris Saint Germain, L 0-2 v Sunderland.

Lens hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estac Troyes 2-4 Lens.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Estac Troyes

WDDDW13-5-2

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WALorient2-1
  • DHParis FC0-0
  • DHPanetolikos1-1
  • DAAuxerre1-1
  • WHChasselay MDA5-2

Lens

WLWWL12-4-4

Scored 2.25 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • LAStrasbourg1-2
  • WHAuxerre5-2
  • WHParis Saint Germain1-0
  • LHSunderland0-2
  • WHVillarreal3-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Estac TroyesrecordLens
2
7
1 draw

Goals

8-18

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Estac Troyes

Recent
LDLLLL
Wins 2Goals 8-18

Biggest win 2-0

Lens

Recent
WDWWWW
Wins 7Goals 18-8

Biggest win 4-0

  • Estac Troyes2-4Lens
  • Estac Troyes1-1Lens
  • Lens1-0Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes1-3Lens
  • Lens4-0Estac Troyes
  • Lens1-0Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes2-0Lens
  • Estac Troyes1-2Lens
  • Estac Troyes1-0Lens
  • Lens2-0Estac Troyes

Managers

S. Dumont

France · 43

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Guingamp II2024–2024
  • Guingamp2021–2024

D. Toppmöller

Germany · 45

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Excelsior Virton2019–2019
  • F91 Dudelange2016–2019
  • Luxembourg City2014–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.