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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5 · France

Marseille v Paris Saint Germain

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Marseille v Paris Saint Germain: the model read

Marseille meet Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 regular season - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Paris Saint Germain, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Paris Saint Germain on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Marseille arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Monaco, W 4-0 v Strasbourg, L 1-2 v Atletico Madrid, W 3-1 v Athletic Club.

Paris Saint Germain are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Lille, D 2-2 @ Rennes, L 0-1 @ Lens, W 2-1 v Aston Villa.

Paris Saint Germain hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Marseille.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Marseille

WWLWL9-3-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • LAMonaco0-2
  • WHStrasbourg4-0
  • LHAtletico Madrid1-2
  • WHAthletic Club3-1
  • WHNimes2-1

Paris Saint Germain

DWLDD10-6-4

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DALille2-2
  • DARennes2-2
  • LALens0-1
  • WHAston Villa2-1
  • DHManchester United1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MarseillerecordParis Saint Germain
2
7
1 draw

Goals

6-24

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Marseille

Recent
LDWLLL
Wins 2Goals 6-24

Biggest win 1-0

Paris Saint Germain

Recent
WDLWWW
Wins 7Goals 24-6

Biggest win 5-0

  • Paris Saint Germain5-0Marseille
  • Paris Saint Germain2-2Marseille
  • Marseille1-0Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris Saint Germain3-1Marseille
  • Marseille0-3Paris Saint Germain
  • Marseille0-2Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris Saint Germain4-0Marseille
  • Marseille0-3Paris Saint Germain
  • Marseille2-1Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris Saint Germain1-0Marseille

Managers

Bruno Genesio

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Lille2025–2026

Luis Enrique

Spain · 55

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Spain2019–2022
  • Spain2018–2019
  • Barcelona2014–2017
  • Celta Vigo2013–2014

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.