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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5 · France

Monaco v Lens

· Stade Louis II, Monaco

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Monaco v Lens: the model read

Monaco meet Lens in the Ligue 1 regular season - 5 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 70%. Attacking output favors Lens on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.0 per match.

Monaco arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Marseille, W 4-1 v Gornik Zabrze, W 1-0 @ Le Havre, W 3-2 @ Gornik Zabrze.

Lens are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Strasbourg, W 5-2 v Auxerre, W 1-0 v Paris Saint Germain, L 0-2 v Sunderland.

Lens hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lens 2-3 Monaco.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Monaco

LWWWW12-3-5

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHMarseille2-0
  • WHGornik Zabrze4-1
  • WALe Havre1-0
  • WAGornik Zabrze3-2
  • LACoventry0-2

Lens

WLWWL12-4-4

Scored 2.25 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • LAStrasbourg1-2
  • WHAuxerre5-2
  • WHParis Saint Germain1-0
  • LHSunderland0-2
  • WHVillarreal3-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MonacorecordLens
3
4
3 draws

Goals

16-24

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

90%

3+ goals

Monaco

Recent
WLLDWD
Wins 3Goals 16-24

Biggest win 3-0

Lens

Recent
LWWDLD
Wins 4Goals 24-16

Biggest win 4-0

  • Lens2-3Monaco
  • Monaco1-4Lens
  • Lens4-0Monaco
  • Monaco1-1Lens
  • Lens2-3Monaco
  • Lens2-2Monaco
  • Monaco3-0Lens
  • Lens3-0Monaco
  • Monaco1-4Lens
  • Lens2-2Monaco

Managers

Filipe Luís

Brazil · 40

In charge since 2026 · 3 teams managed

  • Flamengo U202024–2024

D. Toppmöller

Germany · 45

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Excelsior Virton2019–2019
  • F91 Dudelange2016–2019
  • Luxembourg City2014–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

Monaco vs Lens — Ligue 1 forecast, preview & stats · Lemeister