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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5 · France

Lyon v Rennes

· Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Lyon v Rennes: the model read

Lyon meet Rennes in the Ligue 1 regular season - 5 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Rennes on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Lyon arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Le Havre, L 1-2 v Fenerbahçe, W 2-0 @ Toulouse, D 1-1 @ Fenerbahçe.

Rennes are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Le Mans, D 2-2 v Paris Saint Germain, L 1-2 @ Sunderland, L 2-4 v Brentford.

Rennes hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lyon 4-2 Rennes.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Lyon

WDWLD10-3-7

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • DHLe Havre1-1
  • LHFenerbahçe1-2
  • WAToulouse2-0
  • DAFenerbahçe1-1
  • WHSparta Praha3-0

Rennes

LLLDW10-3-7

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 80%

  • WHLe Mans3-2
  • DHParis Saint Germain2-2
  • LASunderland1-2
  • LHBrentford2-4
  • LHBrentford U211-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

LyonrecordRennes
4
6
0 draws

Goals

20-24

for each

Avg goals

4.4

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

90%

3+ goals

Lyon

Recent
WLWLLW
Wins 4Goals 20-24

Biggest win 4-1

Rennes

Recent
LWLWWL
Wins 6Goals 24-20

Biggest win 3-0

  • Lyon4-2Rennes
  • Rennes3-1Lyon
  • Lyon4-1Rennes
  • Rennes3-0Lyon
  • Lyon2-3Rennes
  • Rennes0-1Lyon
  • Lyon3-1Rennes
  • Rennes3-2Lyon
  • Lyon2-4Rennes
  • Rennes4-1Lyon

Managers

Paulo Fonseca

Portugal · 52

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • AC Milan2024–2024
  • Lille2022–2024
  • Roma2019–2021
  • Shakhtar Donetsk2016–2019

F. Haise

France · 54

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Lens2020–2024
  • Lens II2017–2020
  • Lorient2016–2016
  • Lorient II2013–2015

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.