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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4 · France

Lille v Estac Troyes

· Stade Pierre-Mauroy

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Lille v Estac Troyes: the model read

Lille meet Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 regular season - 4 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1696, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Estac Troyes, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors Estac Troyes on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.

Lille arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Paris Saint Germain, W 2-0 @ Angers, D 1-1 @ Everton, D 2-2 @ Hamburger SV.

Estac Troyes are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Lorient, D 0-0 v Paris FC, D 1-1 v Panetolikos, D 1-1 @ Auxerre.

Lille hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Estac Troyes 1-1 Lille.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Lille

WDDWD10-6-4

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 45%

  • DHParis Saint Germain2-2
  • WAAngers2-0
  • DAEverton1-1
  • DAHamburger SV2-2
  • WAOH Leuven6-3

Estac Troyes

WDDDW13-5-2

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WALorient2-1
  • DHParis FC0-0
  • DHPanetolikos1-1
  • DAAuxerre1-1
  • WHChasselay MDA5-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

LillerecordEstac Troyes
4
3
3 draws

Goals

16-14

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Lille

Recent
DWWLWL
Wins 4Goals 16-14

Biggest win 5-1

Estac Troyes

Recent
DLLWLW
Wins 3Goals 14-16

Biggest win 3-0

  • Estac Troyes1-1Lille
  • Lille5-1Estac Troyes
  • Lille2-0Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes3-0Lille
  • Lille2-1Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes1-0Lille
  • Lille2-2Estac Troyes
  • Lille1-3Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes1-1Lille
  • Lille2-1Estac Troyes

Managers

Davide Ancelotti

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Botafogo2025–2025

S. Dumont

France · 43

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Guingamp II2024–2024
  • Guingamp2021–2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.