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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4 · France

Auxerre v Nice

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Auxerre v Nice: the model read

Auxerre meet Nice in the Ligue 1 regular season - 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors Auxerre on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Auxerre arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Angers, L 2-5 @ Lens, W 1-0 @ Werder Bremen, D 1-1 v Estac Troyes.

Nice are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 0 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Paris FC, D 0-0 v Lorient, D 0-0 @ Hull City, D 0-0 @ Cagliari.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Auxerre 2-1 Nice.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Auxerre

DDWLL6-7-5

Scored 1.61 · Conceded 1.39 · Clean sheets 27.8% · BTTS 66.7%

  • LHAngers1-3
  • LALens2-5
  • WAWerder Bremen1-0
  • DHEstac Troyes1-1
  • DASochaux1-1

Nice

LDDDL5-9-6

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • LAParis FC0-3
  • DHLorient0-0
  • DAHull City0-0
  • DACagliari0-0
  • LAJuventus0-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

AuxerrerecordNice
3
3
4 draws

Goals

12-13

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Auxerre

Recent
WLDWDD
Wins 3Goals 12-13

Biggest win 2-1

Nice

Recent
LWDLDD
Wins 3Goals 13-12

Biggest win 3-1

  • Auxerre2-1Nice
  • Nice3-1Auxerre
  • Nice1-1Auxerre
  • Auxerre2-1Nice
  • Nice0-0Auxerre
  • Nice1-1Auxerre
  • Auxerre1-1Nice
  • Nice3-2Auxerre
  • Nice1-0Auxerre
  • Auxerre2-1Nice

Managers

Christophe Pelissier

Head coach

In charge since 2025

O. Pantaloni

France · 59

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Ajaccio II2023–2023
  • Ajaccio2014–2024
  • Tours2013–2014
  • Ajaccio2009–2012

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.