Where the market is wrong on Metz v Rodez
Metz meet Rodez in the Ligue 2 regular season - 5 at Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz.
Rodez rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1489. Recent form leans Rodez, 74% against 50%. Attacking output favors Rodez on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
Metz arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Annecy, D 1-1 v Laval, D 0-0 @ Grenoble, W 2-1 v Guingamp.
Rodez are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v PAU, W 5-2 @ Nantes, L 0-2 @ Annecy, W 3-1 v Laval.
Metz hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Metz 3-3 Rodez.
The market prices MET at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Rodez: a 14.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
