Where the market is wrong on Dijon v Saint Etienne
Dijon meet Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2 regular season - 4 at Stade Gaston Gerard, Dijon.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dijon, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Saint Etienne on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Dijon arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Saint Etienne, D 1-1 @ Clermont Foot, L 0-1 v PAU, D 1-1 @ Montpellier.
Saint Etienne are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Dijon, W 4-0 v Grenoble, W 3-1 v Clermont Foot, W 3-0 @ Sochaux.
Saint Etienne hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dijon 2-3 Saint Etienne.
The market prices DIJ at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Dijon: a 16.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
