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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4 · France

Annecy v Metz

1-1Full time· Parc des Sports, Annecy· Referee: Antoine Valnet, France

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Annecy v Metz: the model read

Annecy meet Metz in the Ligue 2 regular season - 4 at Parc des Sports, Annecy.

The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Metz on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

Annecy arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Metz, L 1-3 @ Reims, W 2-0 v Rodez, W 1-0 @ PAU.

Metz are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Annecy, D 1-1 v Laval, D 0-0 @ Grenoble, W 2-1 v Guingamp.

Metz hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Annecy 1-1 Metz.

The market prices ANN at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Metz: a 2.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Annecy

DWWLD8-5-6

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 1.42 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 57.9%

  • DHMetz1-1
  • LAReims1-3
  • WHRodez2-0
  • WAPAU1-0
  • DANancy1-1

Metz

LWDDD6-8-6

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 75%

  • DAAnnecy1-1
  • DHLaval1-1
  • DAGrenoble0-0
  • WHGuingamp2-1
  • LH1. FC Kaiserslautern1-3

Head-to-head

5 meetings

AnnecyrecordMetz
0
2
3 draws

Goals

2-9

for each

Avg goals

2.2

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Annecy

Recent
DLDLD
Wins 0Goals 2-9

Metz

Recent
DWDWD
Wins 2Goals 9-2

Biggest win 5-1

  • Annecy1-1Metz
  • Metz5-1Annecy
  • Annecy0-0Metz
  • Annecy0-3Metz
  • Metz0-0Annecy

Managers

L. Guyot

France · 56

In charge since 2021 · 6 teams managed

  • Boulogne2019–2021
  • Cercle Brugge2018–2019
  • Toronto II2018–2018
  • France U172013–2014

L. Holtz

Luxembourg · 56

In charge since 2026 · 3 teams managed

  • Waldhof Mannheim2025–2026
  • Luxembourg2017–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.