Where the market is wrong on Boulogne v RED Star FC 93
Boulogne meet RED Star FC 93 in the Ligue 2 regular season - 3 at Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer.
RED Star FC 93 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1420. Recent form leans RED Star FC 93, 55% against 39%. Attacking output favors RED Star FC 93 on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans RED Star FC 93 at 58%; double chance reads Boulogne or draw 60%, RED Star FC 93 or draw 72%.
Boulogne arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v RED Star FC 93, L 0-1 @ Guingamp, D 0-0 v Nancy, D 1-1 @ Valenciennes.
RED Star FC 93 are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Boulogne, D 0-0 v Sochaux, W 1-0 @ Nantes, L 1-3 @ Amiens.
RED Star FC 93 hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boulogne 1-1 RED Star FC 93.
The market prices BOU at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Boulogne: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
