Montpellier v Dijon: the model read
Montpellier meet Dijon in the Ligue 2 regular season - 1 at Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier. The model makes Dijon the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 32% MON, 29% draw, 39% DIJ.
Dijon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1686 to 1558. Recent form leans Dijon, 76% against 57%. Attacking output favors Dijon on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Dijon at 55%; double chance reads Montpellier or draw 61%, Dijon or draw 68%.
Montpellier arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Cannes, W 5-2 v Le Puy Foot, W 3-2 v Aubagne, D 1-1 @ RED Star FC 93.
Dijon are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, W 4-1 v Progres Niederkorn, W 5-2 v UNFP, D 1-1 @ Le Puy Foot.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
