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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 5 · Netherlands

ADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard

· WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag· Referee: I. Oostrom

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Match analysisPre-match brief

ADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard: the model read

ADO Den Haag meet Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie regular season - 5 at WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag.

ADO Den Haag rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1523. Recent form leans ADO Den Haag, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors ADO Den Haag on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.

ADO Den Haag arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Feyenoord, L 1-3 @ GO Ahead Eagles, L 1-4 v Groningen, L 0-2 @ AZ Alkmaar.

Fortuna Sittard are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Groningen, L 0-2 v AZ Alkmaar, W 3-1 v Cambuur, D 2-2 @ PSV Eindhoven.

The market prices ADO at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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ADO Den Haag

DLLLD13-2-5

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • DAFeyenoord2-2
  • LAGO Ahead Eagles1-3
  • LHGroningen1-4
  • LAAZ Alkmaar0-2
  • DHAsteras Tripolis0-0

Fortuna Sittard

WDWLW9-2-9

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 80%

  • WAGroningen3-2
  • LHAZ Alkmaar0-2
  • WHCambuur3-1
  • DAPSV Eindhoven2-2
  • WHApoel Nicosia2-1

Managers

Robin Peter

Head coach

In charge since 2025

D. Buijs

Netherlands · 43

In charge since 2023 · 4 teams managed

  • Mechelen2022–2022
  • Groningen2018–2022
  • Kozakken Boys2016–2018
  • Kozakken Boys2014–2015

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.