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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4 · Netherlands

Telstar v Ajax

0-4Full time· BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid· Referee: D. Higler

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Telstar v Ajax: the model read

Telstar meet Ajax in the Eredivisie regular season - 4 at BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid.

Ajax rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1509. Recent form leans Ajax, 75% against 47%. Attacking output favors Ajax on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.

Telstar arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Ajax, L 1-3 v Sparta Rotterdam, W 2-1 @ NEC Nijmegen, L 1-3 @ VfL Wolfsburg.

Ajax are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 17 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Telstar, W 5-3 v FC Sion, W 4-2 @ FC Sion, D 2-2 v Heerenveen.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Telstar

WLWLL8-1-9

Scored 1.83 · Conceded 1.83 · Clean sheets 11.1% · BTTS 66.7%

  • LHAjax0-4
  • LHSparta Rotterdam1-3
  • WANEC Nijmegen2-1
  • LAVfL Wolfsburg1-3
  • WADe Graafschap6-3

Ajax

DDWWW12-6-2

Scored 2.25 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 70%

  • WATelstar4-0
  • WHFC Sion5-3
  • WAFC Sion4-2
  • DHHeerenveen2-2
  • DAShelbourne2-2

Managers

A. Correia

Netherlands · 43

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Katwijk2020–2024
  • ODIN '592019–2020

Michel

Spain · 48

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • Girona2025–2025
  • Móstoles2025–2025
  • Torrejón2023–2024
  • Manchego2020–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.