Willem II v Heerenveen: the model read
Willem II meet Heerenveen in the Eredivisie regular season - 4 at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% WIL, 28% draw, 27% HEE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1662 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 57%. Attacking output favors Heerenveen on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 63%; double chance reads Willem II or draw 73%, Heerenveen or draw 55%.
Willem II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
Heerenveen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Club Brugge KV, W 7-2 v De Graafschap, L 2-3 @ Utrecht, D 0-0 v Ajax.
Heerenveen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Heerenveen 3-1 Willem II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
