NAC Breda v Den Bosch: the model read
NAC Breda meet Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 17 at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda. The model makes Den Bosch the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% NAC, 29% draw, 40% DEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Den Bosch on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Den Bosch at 57%; double chance reads NAC Breda or draw 60%, Den Bosch or draw 69%.
NAC Breda arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Excelsior, W 2-1 @ Hoek, L 0-2 v FC Eindhoven, D 3-3 @ AZ Alkmaar.
Den Bosch are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FC Eindhoven, W 3-1 v Quick Boys, L 0-3 @ Almere City FC, L 2-3 v Almere City FC.
NAC Breda hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Den Bosch 2-2 NAC Breda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
