FC Volendam v Jong Ajax: the model read
FC Volendam meet Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 16 at Kras Stadion, Volendam. The model makes FC Volendam the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% FC , 30% draw, 33% JON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors FC Volendam on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans FC Volendam at 53%; double chance reads FC Volendam or draw 67%, Jong Ajax or draw 63%.
FC Volendam arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Waalwijk, L 1-2 @ Almere City FC, L 1-3 @ Jong AZ, W 3-2 @ RKAV Volendam.
Jong Ajax are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Jong AZ, L 0-2 v Jong Utrecht, W 1-0 @ Jong PSV U21, L 1-2 v FC OSS.
FC Volendam hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Jong Ajax 0-2 FC Volendam.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
