NAC Breda v Heracles: the model read
NAC Breda meet Heracles in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 12 at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda. The model makes NAC Breda the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% NAC, 30% draw, 29% HER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans NAC Breda, 38% against 23%. Attacking output favors NAC Breda on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans NAC Breda at 59%; double chance reads NAC Breda or draw 71%, Heracles or draw 59%.
NAC Breda arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Excelsior, W 2-1 @ Hoek, L 0-2 v FC Eindhoven, D 3-3 @ AZ Alkmaar.
Heracles are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Emmen, W 2-1 v Groningen, L 1-2 v Groningen, L 0-3 @ Telstar.
Heracles hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Heracles 0-1 NAC Breda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
