Where the market is wrong on Jong PSV U21 v Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21 meet Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 8 at De Herdgang, Eindhoven.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Jong PSV U21, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Jong Ajax on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Jong PSV U21 arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Jong Ajax, D 2-2 @ Waalwijk, W 1-0 v FC OSS, D 1-1 @ Sunderland U21.
Jong Ajax are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Jong PSV U21, W 3-2 v Helmond Sport, L 2-3 @ NAC Breda, L 4-6 v Emmen.
The market prices JON at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Jong Ajax: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output