Emmen v FC Volendam: the model read
Emmen meet FC Volendam in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 5 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Emmen, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Emmen on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Emmen arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 15 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 v FC Volendam, L 0-4 @ VVV Venlo, W 3-1 v Jong AZ, W 6-4 @ Jong Ajax.
FC Volendam are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 @ Emmen, W 6-1 v Dordrecht, L 0-1 @ MVV, W 3-0 v FC OSS.
Emmen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Emmen 5-3 FC Volendam.
The market prices EMM at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
