Jong AZ v MVV: the model read
Jong AZ meet MVV in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 4 at AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer.
The baseline ratings are close, 1560 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Jong AZ, 56% against 43%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Jong AZ at 63%; double chance reads Jong AZ or draw 73%, MVV or draw 54%.
Jong AZ arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v MVV, L 1-3 @ Emmen, W 5-2 @ De Graafschap, L 0-1 v FC Eindhoven.
MVV are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Jong AZ, L 0-6 @ KRC Genk II, W 1-0 v FC Volendam, W 3-2 @ FC Eindhoven.
Jong AZ hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jong AZ 1-2 MVV.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
