Aalborg v Hillerød: the model read
Aalborg meet Hillerød in the 1. Division regular season - 1 at Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg. The model makes Aalborg the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% AAL, 30% draw, 32% HIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Aalborg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Aalborg at 55%; double chance reads Aalborg or draw 68%, Hillerød or draw 62%.
Aalborg arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Hillerød, L 1-2 v Silkeborg, D 2-2 v Randers FC, W 3-1 v Viborg.
Hillerød are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Aalborg, L 0-1 v Lyngby, D 1-1 @ Vejle, L 0-2 @ Odense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
