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First League · Regular Season - 7 · Bulgaria

Botev Plovdiv v Levski Sofia

1-3Full time· Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv· Referee: Todor Nedyalkov Kirov, Bulgaria

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Botev Plovdiv v Levski Sofia

Botev Plovdiv meet Levski Sofia in the First League regular season - 7 at Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv.

Levski Sofia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1546. Recent form leans Levski Sofia, 83% against 53%. Attacking output favors Levski Sofia on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.

Botev Plovdiv arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Levski Sofia, L 0-1 @ Botev Vratsa, L 0-2 @ Ludogorets, W 3-2 v Spartak Varna.

Levski Sofia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Botev Plovdiv, L 0-4 @ AEK Athens FC, W 6-0 v Spartak Varna, D 0-0 v AEK Athens FC.

Levski Sofia hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Levski Sofia.

The market prices BOT at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Botev Plovdiv: a 4.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Botev Plovdiv

WWLLL10-1-9

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 40%

  • LHLevski Sofia1-3
  • LABotev Vratsa0-1
  • LALudogorets0-2
  • WHSpartak Varna3-2
  • WHCherno More Varna1-0

Levski Sofia

WDWLW14-5-1

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 65% · BTTS 30%

  • WABotev Plovdiv3-1
  • LAAEK Athens FC0-4
  • WHSpartak Varna6-0
  • DHAEK Athens FC0-0
  • WAKairat Almaty1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Botev PlovdivrecordLevski Sofia
1
7
2 draws

Goals

5-16

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Botev Plovdiv

Recent
LLLDWD
Wins 1Goals 5-16

Biggest win 1-0

Levski Sofia

Recent
WWWDLD
Wins 7Goals 16-5

Biggest win 3-0

  • Botev Plovdiv1-3Levski Sofia
  • Levski Sofia3-0Botev Plovdiv
  • Botev Plovdiv0-1Levski Sofia
  • Levski Sofia1-1Botev Plovdiv
  • Botev Plovdiv1-0Levski Sofia
  • Levski Sofia1-1Botev Plovdiv
  • Botev Plovdiv1-3Levski Sofia
  • Botev Plovdiv0-1Levski Sofia
  • Levski Sofia1-0Botev Plovdiv
  • Levski Sofia2-0Botev Plovdiv

Managers

Dimitar Dimitrov

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Julio Velazquez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.