Botev Vratsa v Botev Plovdiv: the model read
Botev Vratsa meet Botev Plovdiv in the First League regular season - 6 at Hristo Botev Stadium, Vratsa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 57%. Attacking output favors Botev Plovdiv on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Botev Plovdiv at 60%; double chance reads Botev Vratsa or draw 58%, Botev Plovdiv or draw 72%.
Botev Vratsa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Botev Plovdiv, L 0-5 @ CSKA Sofia, L 0-3 v Slavia Sofia, L 1-2 @ Ludogorets.
Botev Plovdiv are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Botev Vratsa, L 0-2 @ Ludogorets, W 3-2 v Spartak Varna, W 1-0 v Cherno More Varna.
Botev Plovdiv hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Botev Vratsa 1-0 Botev Plovdiv.
The market prices BOT at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Botev Vratsa: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
