Ludogorets v Botev Vratsa: the model read
Ludogorets meet Botev Vratsa in the First League regular season - 3 at Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad. The model makes Botev Vratsa the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% LUD, 33% draw, 35% BOT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Botev Vratsa, 66% against 55%. Attacking output favors Botev Vratsa on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Botev Vratsa at 52%; double chance reads Ludogorets or draw 65%, Botev Vratsa or draw 68%.
Ludogorets arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Dunav Ruse, L 0-2 @ Hapoel Tel Aviv, W 1-0 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv, W 1-0 v Teuta Durrës.
Botev Vratsa are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ CSKA 1948, D 1-1 v Cherno More Varna, W 1-0 v Arda Kardzhali, D 2-2 v Beitar Jerusalem.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
