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Liga MX · Apertura - 16 · Mexico

Necaxa v Club Tijuana

· Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Necaxa v Club Tijuana: the model read

Necaxa meet Club Tijuana in the Liga MX apertura - 16 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Club Tijuana, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Club Tijuana on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Necaxa arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Club America, L 1-3 @ Atletico San Luis, L 0-1 v Puebla, D 1-1 @ Tigres UANL.

Club Tijuana are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Atlas, D 2-2 @ CF Pachuca, L 0-1 v Club Queretaro, W 2-0 v U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Necaxa 3-0 Club Tijuana.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Necaxa

LDLLL5-6-9

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LHClub America2-4
  • LAAtletico San Luis1-3
  • LHPuebla0-1
  • DATigres UANL1-1
  • LHCruz Azul1-3

Club Tijuana

LWLDL8-5-7

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LHAtlas2-3
  • DACF Pachuca2-2
  • LHClub Queretaro0-1
  • WHU.N.A.M. - Pumas2-0
  • LAGuadalajara Chivas2-5

Head-to-head

10 meetings

NecaxarecordClub Tijuana
3
3
4 draws

Goals

14-15

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Necaxa

Recent
WLWLWL
Wins 3Goals 14-15

Biggest win 3-0

Club Tijuana

Recent
LWLWLW
Wins 3Goals 15-14

Biggest win 3-0

  • Necaxa3-0Club Tijuana
  • Club Tijuana3-0Necaxa
  • Club Tijuana1-2Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-2Club Tijuana
  • Club Tijuana2-3Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-3Club Tijuana
  • Necaxa1-1Club Tijuana
  • Necaxa1-1Club Tijuana
  • Club Tijuana1-1Necaxa
  • Club Tijuana1-1Necaxa

Managers

M. Varini

Uruguay · 34

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • FC Juarez2025–2025
  • Athletico Paranaense2024–2024
  • Defensor Sporting2023–2024
  • Rentistas2021–2021

S. Abreu

Uruguay · 49

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Dorados2024–2025
  • César Vallejo2022–2023
  • Always Ready2022–2022
  • Boston River2019–2020

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.