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Liga MX · Apertura - 14 · Mexico

Necaxa v FC Juarez

· Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Necaxa v FC Juarez: the model read

Necaxa meet FC Juarez in the Liga MX apertura - 14 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 37%. Attacking output favors FC Juarez on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Necaxa arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Club America, L 1-3 @ Atletico San Luis, L 0-1 v Puebla, D 1-1 @ Tigres UANL.

FC Juarez are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Leon, W 2-0 v Tigres UANL, L 1-2 @ Santos Laguna, L 0-2 v CF Pachuca.

Necaxa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Juarez 1-2 Necaxa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Necaxa

LDLLL5-6-9

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LHClub America2-4
  • LAAtletico San Luis1-3
  • LHPuebla0-1
  • DATigres UANL1-1
  • LHCruz Azul1-3

FC Juarez

LLLWL6-2-11

Scored 1.26 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 10.5% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LALeon1-2
  • WHTigres UANL2-0
  • LASantos Laguna1-2
  • LHCF Pachuca0-2
  • LAToluca0-4

Head-to-head

10 meetings

NecaxarecordFC Juarez
4
1
5 draws

Goals

15-10

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Necaxa

Recent
WDDWDD
Wins 4Goals 15-10

Biggest win 3-0

FC Juarez

Recent
LDDLDD
Wins 1Goals 10-15

Biggest win 2-1

  • FC Juarez1-2Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-1FC Juarez
  • FC Juarez2-2Necaxa
  • Necaxa3-0FC Juarez
  • FC Juarez2-2Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-1FC Juarez
  • FC Juarez1-1Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-0FC Juarez
  • FC Juarez2-1Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-0FC Juarez

Managers

M. Varini

Uruguay · 34

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • FC Juarez2025–2025
  • Athletico Paranaense2024–2024
  • Defensor Sporting2023–2024
  • Rentistas2021–2021

Salvador Valero

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.