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Liga MX · Apertura - 13 · Mexico

Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa

· Estadio Akron, Zapopan

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Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa: the model read

Guadalajara Chivas meet Necaxa in the Liga MX apertura - 13 at Estadio Akron, Zapopan.

The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guadalajara Chivas, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Guadalajara Chivas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.

Guadalajara Chivas arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Club Queretaro, D 2-2 @ Club America, W 3-0 v U.N.A.M. - Pumas, W 3-0 @ Atletico San Luis.

Necaxa are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Club America, L 1-3 @ Atletico San Luis, L 0-1 v Puebla, D 1-1 @ Tigres UANL.

Guadalajara Chivas hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Necaxa 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Guadalajara Chivas

DWWDL7-7-5

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 47.4%

  • LHClub Queretaro0-2
  • DAClub America2-2
  • WHU.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
  • WAAtletico San Luis3-0
  • DACF Pachuca1-1

Necaxa

LDLLL5-6-9

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LHClub America2-4
  • LAAtletico San Luis1-3
  • LHPuebla0-1
  • DATigres UANL1-1
  • LHCruz Azul1-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Guadalajara ChivasrecordNecaxa
7
2
1 draw

Goals

19-9

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Guadalajara Chivas

Recent
DWLWLW
Wins 7Goals 19-9

Biggest win 4-0

Necaxa

Recent
DLWLWL
Wins 2Goals 9-19

Biggest win 3-2

  • Necaxa0-0Guadalajara Chivas
  • Guadalajara Chivas3-1Necaxa
  • Necaxa3-2Guadalajara Chivas
  • Guadalajara Chivas3-2Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-0Guadalajara Chivas
  • Guadalajara Chivas2-0Necaxa
  • Guadalajara Chivas1-0Necaxa
  • Necaxa0-4Guadalajara Chivas
  • Necaxa0-1Guadalajara Chivas
  • Necaxa2-3Guadalajara Chivas

Managers

G. Milito

Argentina · 45

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Atlético Mineiro2024–2024
  • Argentinos Juniors2021–2023
  • Estudiantes2019–2020
  • O'Higgins2017–2018

M. Varini

Uruguay · 34

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • FC Juarez2025–2025
  • Athletico Paranaense2024–2024
  • Defensor Sporting2023–2024
  • Rentistas2021–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.