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Liga MX · Apertura - 12 · Mexico

Toluca v Atletico San Luis

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Toluca v Atletico San Luis: the model read

Toluca meet Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX apertura - 12.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Toluca, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Toluca on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Toluca arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Leon, W 4-0 v FC Juarez, W 2-0 v Austin, W 2-1 @ Club Queretaro.

Atletico San Luis are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Monterrey, D 1-1 v CF Pachuca, L 0-3 @ Club America, D 2-2 @ Orlando City SC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Toluca

DWWWW10-3-7

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WHLeon2-0
  • WHFC Juarez4-0
  • WHAustin2-0
  • WAClub Queretaro2-1
  • DAAtlante FC0-0

Atletico San Luis

LDLDW6-7-7

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • WAMonterrey3-1
  • DHCF Pachuca1-1
  • LAClub America0-3
  • DAOrlando City SC2-2
  • LANashville SC1-4

Managers

A. Mohamed

Argentina · 55

In charge since 2024 · 10 teams managed

  • Pumas UNAM2023–2023
  • Atlético Mineiro2022–2022
  • Monterrey2019–2020
  • Huracán2018–2019

Raul Chabrand

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.