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Liga MX · Apertura - 12 · Mexico

Guadalajara Chivas v Tigres UANL

· Estadio Akron, Zapopan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Guadalajara Chivas v Tigres UANL: the model read

Guadalajara Chivas meet Tigres UANL in the Liga MX apertura - 12 at Estadio Akron, Zapopan.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Tigres UANL on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Guadalajara Chivas arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ CF Pachuca, W 5-2 v Club Tijuana, W 1-0 @ Santos Laguna, W 2-1 @ Seattle Sounders.

Tigres UANL are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Santos Laguna, W 2-0 v Atlante FC, L 1-2 @ Atlas, D 1-1 v Vancouver Whitecaps.

Tigres UANL hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 Tigres UANL.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Guadalajara Chivas

LWWWD6-8-5

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 52.6%

  • DACF Pachuca1-1
  • WHClub Tijuana5-2
  • WASantos Laguna1-0
  • WASeattle Sounders2-1
  • LHFC Dallas0-1

Tigres UANL

DDLWD7-8-5

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • DASantos Laguna0-0
  • WHAtlante FC2-0
  • LAAtlas1-2
  • DHVancouver Whitecaps1-1
  • DHMinnesota United FC0-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Guadalajara ChivasrecordTigres UANL
1
5
4 draws

Goals

8-17

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Guadalajara Chivas

Recent
WLLDDD
Wins 1Goals 8-17

Biggest win 2-0

Tigres UANL

Recent
LWWDDD
Wins 5Goals 17-8

Biggest win 4-0

  • Guadalajara Chivas2-0Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL3-1Guadalajara Chivas
  • Tigres UANL4-1Guadalajara Chivas
  • Guadalajara Chivas0-0Tigres UANL
  • Guadalajara Chivas1-1Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL1-1Guadalajara Chivas
  • Tigres UANL1-0Guadalajara Chivas
  • Guadalajara Chivas0-4Tigres UANL
  • Guadalajara Chivas2-3Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL0-0Guadalajara Chivas

Managers

G. Milito

Argentina · 45

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Atlético Mineiro2024–2024
  • Argentinos Juniors2021–2023
  • Estudiantes2019–2020
  • O'Higgins2017–2018

G. Pizarro

Argentina · 35

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.