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Liga MX · Apertura - 12 · Mexico

Necaxa v Atlas

· Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Necaxa v Atlas: the model read

Necaxa meet Atlas in the Liga MX apertura - 12 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Necaxa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.

Necaxa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Cruz Azul, D 1-1 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas, L 1-2 v Leon, W 2-1 @ New York City FC.

Atlas are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Club Queretaro, W 2-0 @ Cruz Azul, W 2-1 v Tigres UANL, W 2-1 @ FC Cincinnati.

Atlas hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlas 0-0 Necaxa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Necaxa

LWLDL7-6-7

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • LHCruz Azul1-3
  • DAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
  • LHLeon1-2
  • WANew York City FC2-1
  • LAPhiladelphia Union1-3

Atlas

LWWWL7-3-10

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 35%

  • LHClub Queretaro1-3
  • WACruz Azul2-0
  • WHTigres UANL2-1
  • WAFC Cincinnati2-1
  • LACharlotte0-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

NecaxarecordAtlas
3
4
3 draws

Goals

14-14

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Necaxa

Recent
DLLLWW
Wins 3Goals 14-14

Biggest win 4-0

Atlas

Recent
DWWWLL
Wins 4Goals 14-14

Biggest win 5-3

  • Atlas0-0Necaxa
  • Necaxa0-1Atlas
  • Atlas5-3Necaxa
  • Atlas3-2Necaxa
  • Atlas0-4Necaxa
  • Atlas1-2Necaxa
  • Necaxa0-0Atlas
  • Necaxa2-1Atlas
  • Atlas0-0Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-3Atlas

Managers

M. Varini

Uruguay · 34

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • FC Juarez2025–2025
  • Athletico Paranaense2024–2024
  • Defensor Sporting2023–2024
  • Rentistas2021–2021

H. Crespo

Argentina · 50

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Al Ain2023–2024
  • Al Duhail2022–2023
  • São Paulo2021–2021
  • Defensa y Justicia2020–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.