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Liga MX · Apertura - 11 · Mexico

Puebla v Leon

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Puebla v Leon: the model read

Puebla meet Leon in the Liga MX apertura - 11.

Leon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans Leon, 70% against 33%. Attacking output favors Leon on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Puebla arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Club America, W 3-2 v Santos Laguna, W 3-2 @ CF Pachuca, L 2-3 @ San Diego.

Leon are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Toluca, D 1-1 @ Atlante FC, W 3-0 v Real Salt Lake, W 2-0 v Monterrey.

Leon hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Puebla 0-1 Leon.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Puebla

LLWWL5-3-12

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 2.10 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • LAClub America0-2
  • WHSantos Laguna3-2
  • WACF Pachuca3-2
  • LASan Diego2-3
  • LAAustin0-3

Leon

WWWDL13-2-5

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • LAToluca0-2
  • DAAtlante FC1-1
  • WHReal Salt Lake3-0
  • WHMonterrey2-0
  • WANecaxa2-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

PueblarecordLeon
3
5
2 draws

Goals

12-16

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Puebla

Recent
LWLDLW
Wins 3Goals 12-16

Biggest win 2-1

Leon

Recent
WLWDWL
Wins 5Goals 16-12

Biggest win 2-0

  • Puebla0-1Leon
  • Leon1-2Puebla
  • Leon1-0Puebla
  • Puebla2-2Leon
  • Leon2-1Puebla
  • Puebla5-4Leon
  • Leon2-0Puebla
  • Puebla1-1Leon
  • Leon0-1Puebla
  • Leon2-0Puebla

Managers

Gerardo Espinoza

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Javier Gandolfi

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.