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Liga MX · Apertura - 9 · Mexico

Toluca v Santos Laguna

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Toluca v Santos Laguna: the model read

Toluca meet Santos Laguna in the Liga MX apertura - 9.

Toluca rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1420. Recent form leans Toluca, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Toluca on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.

Toluca arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Leon, W 4-0 v FC Juarez, W 2-0 v Austin, W 2-1 @ Club Queretaro.

Santos Laguna are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Tigres UANL, L 2-3 @ Puebla, L 0-1 v Guadalajara Chivas, W 2-0 @ Philadelphia Union.

Toluca hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 2 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Toluca 3-1 Santos Laguna.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Toluca

DWWWW10-3-7

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WHLeon2-0
  • WHFC Juarez4-0
  • WHAustin2-0
  • WAClub Queretaro2-1
  • DAAtlante FC0-0

Santos Laguna

LWLLD6-2-12

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 40%

  • DHTigres UANL0-0
  • LAPuebla2-3
  • LHGuadalajara Chivas0-1
  • WAPhiladelphia Union2-0
  • LAChicago Fire1-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

TolucarecordSantos Laguna
8
2
0 draws

Goals

24-14

for each

Avg goals

3.8

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Toluca

Recent
WWWLWL
Wins 8Goals 24-14

Biggest win 5-0

Santos Laguna

Recent
LLLWLW
Wins 2Goals 14-24

Biggest win 2-0

  • Toluca3-1Santos Laguna
  • Santos Laguna2-4Toluca
  • Toluca2-1Santos Laguna
  • Santos Laguna2-0Toluca
  • Toluca1-0Santos Laguna
  • Santos Laguna3-1Toluca
  • Santos Laguna0-5Toluca
  • Santos Laguna1-2Toluca
  • Toluca4-3Santos Laguna
  • Toluca2-1Santos Laguna

Managers

A. Mohamed

Argentina · 55

In charge since 2024 · 10 teams managed

  • Pumas UNAM2023–2023
  • Atlético Mineiro2022–2022
  • Monterrey2019–2020
  • Huracán2018–2019

Paiva Renato

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.