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Liga MX · Apertura - 8 · Mexico

Necaxa v Puebla

· Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Necaxa v Puebla: the model read

Necaxa meet Puebla in the Liga MX apertura - 8 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Necaxa, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Necaxa on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.

Necaxa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Cruz Azul, D 1-1 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas, L 1-2 v Leon, W 2-1 @ New York City FC.

Puebla are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Club America, W 3-2 v Santos Laguna, W 3-2 @ CF Pachuca, L 2-3 @ San Diego.

Necaxa hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Puebla 0-0 Necaxa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Necaxa

LWLDL7-6-7

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • LHCruz Azul1-3
  • DAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
  • LHLeon1-2
  • WANew York City FC2-1
  • LAPhiladelphia Union1-3

Puebla

LLWWL5-3-12

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 2.10 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • LAClub America0-2
  • WHSantos Laguna3-2
  • WACF Pachuca3-2
  • LASan Diego2-3
  • LAAustin0-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

NecaxarecordPuebla
5
2
3 draws

Goals

13-8

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Necaxa

Recent
DWWWWL
Wins 5Goals 13-8

Biggest win 4-1

Puebla

Recent
DLLLLW
Wins 2Goals 8-13

Biggest win 2-1

  • Puebla0-0Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-0Puebla
  • Puebla0-1Necaxa
  • Necaxa4-1Puebla
  • Puebla1-2Necaxa
  • Necaxa1-2Puebla
  • Necaxa1-1Puebla
  • Puebla2-2Necaxa
  • Puebla0-1Necaxa
  • Necaxa0-1Puebla

Managers

M. Varini

Uruguay · 34

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • FC Juarez2025–2025
  • Athletico Paranaense2024–2024
  • Defensor Sporting2023–2024
  • Rentistas2021–2021

Gerardo Espinoza

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.