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Liga MX · Apertura - 7 · Mexico

U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Leon

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Leon

U.N.A.M. - Pumas meet Leon in the Liga MX apertura - 7.

Leon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1500. Recent form leans Leon, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Leon on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Club Tijuana, D 1-1 v Necaxa, D 0-0 v Club Queretaro, D 1-1 @ Columbus Crew.

Leon are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Toluca, D 1-1 @ Atlante FC, W 3-0 v Real Salt Lake, W 2-0 v Monterrey.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Leon.

The market prices U.N at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Leon: a 15.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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U.N.A.M. - Pumas

LDDDL7-6-7

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • LAClub Tijuana0-2
  • DHNecaxa1-1
  • DHClub Queretaro0-0
  • DAColumbus Crew1-1
  • LAFC Cincinnati0-2

Leon

WWWDL13-2-5

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • LAToluca0-2
  • DAAtlante FC1-1
  • WHReal Salt Lake3-0
  • WHMonterrey2-0
  • WANecaxa2-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

U.N.A.M. - PumasrecordLeon
6
0
4 draws

Goals

21-11

for each

Avg goals

3.2

per game

BTTS

90%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Recent
DDWWWD
Wins 6Goals 21-11

Biggest win 4-1

Leon

Recent
DDLLLD
Wins 0Goals 11-21
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1Leon
  • Leon1-1U.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • Leon1-2U.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas4-1Leon
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-0Leon
  • Leon1-1U.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas4-1Leon
  • Leon3-3U.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-1Leon
  • Leon1-2U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Managers

Esteban Solari

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Javier Gandolfi

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.