Where the market is wrong on Club America v Club Tijuana
Club America meet Club Tijuana in the Liga MX apertura - 7 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Club America, 70% against 55%. Attacking output favors Club America on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Club America arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Monterrey, W 2-0 v Puebla, W 2-0 v Columbus Crew, W 2-1 @ FC Juarez.
Club Tijuana are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v U.N.A.M. - Pumas, L 2-5 @ Guadalajara Chivas, W 2-1 v Cruz Azul, L 1-3 @ Portland Timbers.
Club America hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club Tijuana 0-0 Club America.
The market prices CLU at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Club Tijuana: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
