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Liga MX · Apertura - 6 · Mexico

Necaxa v Cruz Azul

1-3Full time· Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes· Referee: I. Rosario

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Necaxa v Cruz Azul: the model read

Necaxa meet Cruz Azul in the Liga MX apertura - 6 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.

Cruz Azul rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1500. Recent form leans Cruz Azul, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Cruz Azul on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Cruz Azul at 59%; double chance reads Necaxa or draw 58%, Cruz Azul or draw 71%.

Necaxa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Cruz Azul, D 1-1 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas, L 1-2 v Leon, W 2-1 @ New York City FC.

Cruz Azul are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Necaxa, L 0-2 v Atlas, L 1-2 @ Club Tijuana, L 1-2 v Chicago Fire.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Necaxa

LWLDL7-6-7

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • LHCruz Azul1-3
  • DAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
  • LHLeon1-2
  • WANew York City FC2-1
  • LAPhiladelphia Union1-3

Cruz Azul

WLLLW11-5-4

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 80%

  • WANecaxa3-1
  • LHAtlas0-2
  • LAClub Tijuana1-2
  • LHChicago Fire1-2
  • WHNew York City FC2-1

Managers

M. Varini

Uruguay · 34

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • FC Juarez2025–2025
  • Athletico Paranaense2024–2024
  • Defensor Sporting2023–2024
  • Rentistas2021–2021

Joel Huiqui

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.