Where the market is wrong on FC Juarez v Club America
FC Juarez meet Club America in the Liga MX apertura - 5 at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez, Ciudad Juarez.
Club America rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1456. Recent form leans Club America, 65% against 42%. Attacking output favors Club America on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Club America at 66%; double chance reads FC Juarez or draw 52%, Club America or draw 75%.
FC Juarez arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Club America, L 1-6 @ Monterrey, L 0-3 @ Real Salt Lake, W 3-1 @ Vancouver Whitecaps.
Club America are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ FC Juarez, W 3-0 v Atletico San Luis, D 1-1 v Austin, W 3-1 v Portland Timbers.
Club America hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Juarez 1-2 Club America.
The market prices FC at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Juarez: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
