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Liga MX · Apertura - 4 · Mexico

CF Pachuca v Puebla

2-3Full time· Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto· Referee: Aldo Ballesteros Barba, Mexico

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Match analysisPre-match brief

CF Pachuca v Puebla: the model read

CF Pachuca meet Puebla in the Liga MX apertura - 4 at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CF Pachuca, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors CF Pachuca on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans CF Pachuca at 60%; double chance reads CF Pachuca or draw 71%, Puebla or draw 57%.

CF Pachuca arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Atletico San Luis, L 2-3 v Puebla, W 1-0 @ Charlotte, L 1-2 @ Columbus Crew.

Puebla are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Santos Laguna, W 3-2 @ CF Pachuca, L 2-3 @ San Diego, L 0-3 @ Austin.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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CF Pachuca

LLWLD9-3-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • DAAtletico San Luis1-1
  • LHPuebla2-3
  • WACharlotte1-0
  • LAColumbus Crew1-2
  • LAFC Cincinnati1-3

Puebla

LLLWW6-3-11

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 75%

  • WHSantos Laguna3-2
  • WACF Pachuca3-2
  • LASan Diego2-3
  • LAAustin0-3
  • LAPortland Timbers2-5

Managers

Benjamin Mora

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 clubs managed

  • Wuhan Three Towns2026–2026

Gerardo Espinoza

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.