Santos Laguna v Guadalajara Chivas: the model read
Santos Laguna meet Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX apertura - 4 at Estadio Corona, Torreon.
Guadalajara Chivas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1528 to 1408. Recent form leans Guadalajara Chivas, 55% against 33%. Attacking output favors Guadalajara Chivas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Guadalajara Chivas at 61%; double chance reads Santos Laguna or draw 57%, Guadalajara Chivas or draw 73%.
Santos Laguna arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Puebla, L 0-1 v Guadalajara Chivas, W 2-0 @ Philadelphia Union, L 1-3 @ Chicago Fire.
Guadalajara Chivas are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Club Tijuana, W 1-0 @ Santos Laguna, W 2-1 @ Seattle Sounders, L 0-1 v FC Dallas.
Guadalajara Chivas hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santos Laguna 0-1 Guadalajara Chivas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
