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Liga MX · Apertura - 4 · Mexico

Atlante FC v Toluca

0-0Full time· Estadio Banorte, Mexico City· Referee: S. Perez

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Atlante FC v Toluca: the model read

Atlante FC meet Toluca in the Liga MX apertura - 4 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.

Toluca rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Toluca, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Toluca on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.

Atlante FC arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Leon, L 0-2 @ Tigres UANL, D 0-0 v Toluca, L 1-3 @ Minnesota United FC.

Toluca are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Leon, W 4-0 v FC Juarez, W 2-0 v Austin, W 2-1 @ Club Queretaro.

Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlante FC 0-0 Toluca.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Atlante FC

LLDLD5-7-8

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • DHLeon1-1
  • LATigres UANL0-2
  • DHToluca0-0
  • LAMinnesota United FC1-3
  • LAReal Salt Lake0-4

Toluca

DWWWW10-3-7

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WHLeon2-0
  • WHFC Juarez4-0
  • WHAustin2-0
  • WAClub Queretaro2-1
  • DAAtlante FC0-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Atlante FCrecordToluca
0
0
2 draws

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Atlante FC

Recent
DD
Wins 0Goals 3-3

Toluca

Recent
DD
Wins 0Goals 3-3
  • Atlante FC0-0Toluca
  • Atlante FC3-3Toluca

Managers

M. Herrera

Mexico · 57

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Tijuana2023–2024
  • Tigres UANL2021–2022
  • Club América2017–2020
  • Tijuana2015–2017

A. Mohamed

Argentina · 55

In charge since 2024 · 10 teams managed

  • Pumas UNAM2023–2023
  • Atlético Mineiro2022–2022
  • Monterrey2019–2020
  • Huracán2018–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.