Where the market is wrong on Club Queretaro v Club America
Club Queretaro meet Club America in the Liga MX apertura - 1 at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago de Queretaro. The model makes Club America the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% CLU, 32% draw, 35% CLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Club America on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Club America at 52%; double chance reads Club Queretaro or draw 65%, Club America or draw 68%.
Club Queretaro arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Club America, W 1-0 @ Austin, D 2-2 v Atletico San Luis, W 2-0 @ Reboceros La Piedad.
Club America are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Club Queretaro, L 0-1 @ Los Angeles Galaxy, W 2-0 @ CDS Tampico Madero, D 3-3 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Club America hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club Queretaro 0-1 Club America.
The market prices CLU at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Club Queretaro: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
