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Federation Cup · Quarter-finals · Nigeria

Ikorodu City v Barau FC

2-2Full time· Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ikorodu City v Barau FC: the model read

Ikorodu City meet Barau FC in the Federation Cup quarter-finals at Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Barau FC, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ikorodu City on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Ikorodu City arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Ranchers Bees, L 0-1 @ El Kanemi Warriors, D 1-1 @ Nasarawa United, D 2-2 v Barau FC.

Barau FC are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Nasarawa United, D 2-2 @ Ikorodu City, W 2-1 @ Sunshine Stars U19, W 1-0 v Abakaliki.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ikorodu City 2-2 Barau FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ikorodu City

DDDLW8-5-7

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • WHRanchers Bees3-1
  • LAEl Kanemi Warriors0-1
  • DANasarawa United1-1
  • DHBarau FC2-2
  • DHEnyimba1-1

Barau FC

WWWDW10-6-4

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 30%

  • WHNasarawa United3-1
  • DAIkorodu City2-2
  • WASunshine Stars U192-1
  • WHAbakaliki1-0
  • WHNasarawa United3-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Ikorodu CityrecordBarau FC
1
1
1 draw

Goals

4-3

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Ikorodu City

Recent
DLW
Wins 1Goals 4-3

Biggest win 2-0

Barau FC

Recent
DWL
Wins 1Goals 3-4

Biggest win 1-0

  • Ikorodu City2-2Barau FC
  • Barau FC1-0Ikorodu City
  • Ikorodu City2-0Barau FC

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Ladan Bosso

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.