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Copa Espírito Santo · Semi-finals · Brazil

Vitória ES v Vilavelhense

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Vitória ES v Vilavelhense: the model read

Vitória ES meet Vilavelhense in the Copa Espírito Santo semi-finals.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors Vitória ES on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Vitória ES arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rio Branco-VN, L 0-2 @ Ipatinga, D 0-0 v Vilavelhense, W 1-0 v Ipatinga.

Vilavelhense are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Vitória ES, D 2-2 v Vitória ES, W 2-0 v Audax São Mateus, W 1-0 v Vitória ES.

Vitória ES hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitória ES 0-0 Vilavelhense.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Vitória ES

DWDLL8-6-6

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • LHRio Branco-VN0-1
  • LAIpatinga0-2
  • DHVilavelhense0-0
  • WHIpatinga1-0
  • DAVilavelhense2-2

Vilavelhense

DWWDD8-6-6

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • DAVitória ES0-0
  • DHVitória ES2-2
  • WHAudax São Mateus2-0
  • WHVitória ES1-0
  • DARio Branco ES1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Vitória ESrecordVilavelhense
6
1
3 draws

Goals

17-4

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

20%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Vitória ES

Recent
DDLWDW
Wins 6Goals 17-4

Biggest win 4-0

Vilavelhense

Recent
DDWLDL
Wins 1Goals 4-17

Biggest win 1-0

  • Vitória ES0-0Vilavelhense
  • Vilavelhense2-2Vitória ES
  • Vilavelhense1-0Vitória ES
  • Vitória ES1-0Vilavelhense
  • Vitória ES1-1Vilavelhense
  • Vilavelhense0-3Vitória ES
  • Vilavelhense0-2Vitória ES
  • Vitória ES4-0Vilavelhense
  • Vilavelhense0-1Vitória ES
  • Vitória ES3-0Vilavelhense

Managers

Soriano Rafael

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.