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Serie A · Regular Season - 7 · Italy

Fiorentina v Como

· Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Fiorentina v Como: the model read

Fiorentina meet Como in the Serie A regular season - 7 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.

The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Como, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors Como on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Como at 58%; double chance reads Fiorentina or draw 59%, Como or draw 71%.

Fiorentina arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Frosinone, L 0-4 @ AS Roma, W 4-1 v Benevento, D 1-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.

Como are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Napoli, D 1-1 @ Udinese, D 0-0 @ Liverpool, D 1-1 @ Arsenal.

Como hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Como 1-2 Fiorentina.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fiorentina

DDWLL8-6-5

Scored 1.42 · Conceded 1.32 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LHFrosinone0-3
  • LAAS Roma0-4
  • WHBenevento4-1
  • DHDeportivo La Coruna1-1
  • DAReal Madrid2-2

Como

WDDDW10-7-3

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 65%

  • WANapoli2-1
  • DAUdinese1-1
  • DALiverpool0-0
  • DAArsenal1-1
  • WAFamalicao3-2

Head-to-head

5 meetings

FiorentinarecordComo
2
3
0 draws

Goals

6-8

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Fiorentina

Recent
WLLLW
Wins 2Goals 6-8

Biggest win 2-0

Como

Recent
LWWWL
Wins 3Goals 8-6

Biggest win 3-1

  • Como1-2Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina1-3Como
  • Fiorentina1-2Como
  • Fiorentina0-2Como
  • Como0-2Fiorentina

Managers

F. Grosso

Italy · 48

In charge since 2026 · 9 teams managed

  • Lyon2023–2023
  • Frosinone2021–2023
  • Sion2020–2021
  • Brescia2019–2019

Cesc Fàbregas

Spain · 38

In charge since 2024

  • Como2023–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.