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Serie A · Regular Season - 7 · Italy

AS Roma v Genoa

· Stadio Olimpico, Rome

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Match analysisPre-match brief

AS Roma v Genoa: the model read

AS Roma meet Genoa in the Serie A regular season - 7 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AS Roma, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors AS Roma on expected goals, 2.2 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans AS Roma at 67%; double chance reads AS Roma or draw 76%, Genoa or draw 51%.

AS Roma arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Lecce, W 4-0 v Fiorentina, D 2-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, L 0-3 @ Brighton.

Genoa are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lazio, L 0-2 v Napoli, W 4-1 v Ascoli, L 0-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.

AS Roma hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Genoa 2-1 AS Roma.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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AS Roma

WLDWW10-4-6

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WALecce4-0
  • WHFiorentina4-0
  • DABorussia Dortmund2-2
  • LABrighton0-3
  • WANewport County4-1

Genoa

LLWLL7-3-10

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 40%

  • LALazio0-1
  • LHNapoli0-2
  • WHAscoli4-1
  • LHDeportivo La Coruna0-1
  • LABournemouth1-10

Head-to-head

10 meetings

AS RomarecordGenoa
6
2
2 draws

Goals

14-9

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

AS Roma

Recent
LWWDWL
Wins 6Goals 14-9

Biggest win 3-1

Genoa

Recent
WLLDLW
Wins 2Goals 9-14

Biggest win 4-1

  • Genoa2-1AS Roma
  • AS Roma3-1Genoa
  • AS Roma3-1Genoa
  • Genoa1-1AS Roma
  • AS Roma1-0Genoa
  • Genoa4-1AS Roma
  • AS Roma1-0Genoa
  • AS Roma0-0Genoa
  • Genoa0-2AS Roma
  • AS Roma1-0Genoa

Managers

G. Gasperini

Italy · 67

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Genoa2013–2016
  • Palermo2013–2013
  • Palermo2012–2013
  • Inter Milan2011–2011

D. De Rossi

Italy · 42

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Roma2024–2024
  • SPAL2022–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.