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Serie A · Regular Season - 6 · Italy

Lecce v Bologna

· Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Lecce v Bologna: the model read

Lecce meet Bologna in the Serie A regular season - 6 at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors Bologna on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Lecce at 53%; double chance reads Lecce or draw 68%, Bologna or draw 63%.

Lecce arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v AS Roma, W 2-0 @ Venezia, L 0-2 @ Palermo, W 1-0 v SS Monopoli.

Bologna are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Atalanta, L 0-1 v Lazio, L 0-1 @ Brighton, L 1-4 v Pisa.

Bologna hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bologna 2-0 Lecce.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Lecce

WWLWL8-3-9

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

  • LHAS Roma0-4
  • WAVenezia2-0
  • LAPalermo0-2
  • WHSS Monopoli1-0
  • WHBistrica5-2

Bologna

WLLLL7-3-10

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 40%

  • LAAtalanta0-1
  • LHLazio0-1
  • LABrighton0-1
  • LHPisa1-4
  • WHCambuur3-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

LeccerecordBologna
0
7
3 draws

Goals

9-21

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Lecce

Recent
LDDLLD
Wins 0Goals 9-21

Bologna

Recent
WDDWWD
Wins 7Goals 21-9

Biggest win 4-0

  • Bologna2-0Lecce
  • Lecce2-2Bologna
  • Lecce0-0Bologna
  • Bologna1-0Lecce
  • Bologna4-0Lecce
  • Lecce1-1Bologna
  • Lecce2-3Bologna
  • Bologna2-0Lecce
  • Bologna3-2Lecce
  • Lecce2-3Bologna

Managers

E. Di Francesco

Italy · 56

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Frosinone2023–2024
  • Verona2021–2021
  • Cagliari2020–2021
  • Sampdoria2019–2019

S. Mihajlović

Serbia · 56

  • Bologna2019–2022
  • Sporting Lisbon2018–2018
  • Torino2016–2018
  • AC Milan2015–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.